Minnesota Vikings vs Seattle Seahawks — Win Probability
FINAL
Minnesota Vikings
2-4
0
VS
Seattle Seahawks
7-2
26
Market line: SEA -7.5, total 42.5 · Model expected score: Minnesota Vikings 17.5 – Seattle Seahawks 25.0
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Prediction vs. Result
We keep every prediction permanently so we can always show our work.
PREGAME WIN PROBABILITY
Seahawks 71%
ACTUAL RESULT
Seattle Seahawks won by 26
COMBINED SCORE
26
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Margin of Victory — Seattle Seahawks (Home)
Pregame odds for every possible outcome, simulated before kickoff -- the highlighted bar is what actually happened.
Lost / Tied
29%
Won by 1-3
8%
Won by 4-7
12%
Won by 8-14
20%
Won by 15-21
16%
Won by 21+ ← actual result
16%
Total Score — Over / Under
Combined final score against five common lines, plus this game's actual market line -- the real combined score was 26.
O/U LINE 30
83% over17% under ✓
O/U LINE 40
57% over43% under ✓
O/U LINE 42.5 MARKET LINE
50% over50% under ✓
O/U LINE 44
46% over54% under ✓
O/U LINE 48
34% over66% under ✓
O/U LINE 52
24% over76% under ✓
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