Los Angeles Rams vs Carolina Panthers — Win Probability
FINAL
Los Angeles Rams
9-2
28
VS
Carolina Panthers
5-5
31
Market line: LAR -7.5, total 44.5 · Model expected score: Los Angeles Rams 26.0 – Carolina Panthers 18.5
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Prediction vs. Result
We keep every prediction permanently so we can always show our work.
PREGAME WIN PROBABILITY
Rams 71%
ACTUAL RESULT
Carolina Panthers won by 3
COMBINED SCORE
59
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Margin of Victory — Carolina Panthers (Home)
Pregame odds for every possible outcome, simulated before kickoff -- the highlighted bar is what actually happened.
Lost / Tied
71%
Won by 1-3 ← actual result
7%
Won by 4-7
8%
Won by 8-14
9%
Won by 15-21
4%
Won by 21+
2%
Total Score — Over / Under
Combined final score against five common lines, plus this game's actual market line -- the real combined score was 59.
O/U LINE 30
86% over ✓14% under
O/U LINE 40
63% over ✓37% under
O/U LINE 44
51% over ✓49% under
O/U LINE 44.5 MARKET LINE
50% over ✓50% under
O/U LINE 48
40% over ✓60% under
O/U LINE 52
29% over ✓71% under
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