Kansas City Chiefs vs Dallas Cowboys — Win Probability
FINAL
Kansas City Chiefs
3-3
28
VS
Dallas Cowboys
3-3
31
Prediction vs. Result
We keep every prediction permanently so we can always show our work.
PREGAME WIN PROBABILITY
Chiefs 61%
ACTUAL RESULT
Dallas Cowboys won by 3
COMBINED SCORE
59
Margin of Victory — Dallas Cowboys (Home)
Pregame odds for every possible outcome, simulated before kickoff -- the highlighted bar is what actually happened.
Lost / Tied
61%
Won by 1-3 ← actual result
9%
Won by 4-7
10%
Won by 8-14
12%
Won by 15-21
6%
Won by 21+
3%
Total Score — Over / Under
Combined final score against five common lines, plus this game's actual market line -- the real combined score was 59.
O/U LINE 30
95% over ✓5% under
O/U LINE 40
81% over ✓19% under
O/U LINE 44
72% over ✓28% under
O/U LINE 48
60% over ✓40% under
O/U LINE 51.5 MARKET LINE
50% over ✓50% under
O/U LINE 52
49% over ✓51% under
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Margin-of-victory breakdowns and total-score probabilities for every game are a free-account feature. This one's part of the paid slate — the Game of the Week is always free to view in full.
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