Jacksonville Jaguars vs Tennessee Titans — Win Probability
FINAL
Jacksonville Jaguars
6-4
25
VS
Tennessee Titans
0-10
3
Market line: JAX -7.5, total 42.5 · Model expected score: Jacksonville Jaguars 25.0 – Tennessee Titans 17.5
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Prediction vs. Result
We keep every prediction permanently so we can always show our work.
PREGAME WIN PROBABILITY
Jaguars 71%
ACTUAL RESULT
Jacksonville Jaguars won by 22
COMBINED SCORE
28
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Margin of Victory — Tennessee Titans (Home)
Pregame odds for every possible outcome, simulated before kickoff -- the highlighted bar is what actually happened.
Lost / Tied ← actual result
71%
Won by 1-3
7%
Won by 4-7
8%
Won by 8-14
9%
Won by 15-21
4%
Won by 21+
2%
Total Score — Over / Under
Combined final score against five common lines, plus this game's actual market line -- the real combined score was 28.
O/U LINE 30
82% over18% under ✓
O/U LINE 40
57% over43% under ✓
O/U LINE 42.5 MARKET LINE
50% over50% under ✓
O/U LINE 44
45% over55% under ✓
O/U LINE 48
34% over66% under ✓
O/U LINE 52
24% over76% under ✓
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