Houston Texans vs Indianapolis Colts — Win Probability
FINAL
Houston Texans
4-5
20
VS
Indianapolis Colts
7-3
16
Prediction vs. Result
We keep every prediction permanently so we can always show our work.
PREGAME WIN PROBABILITY
Colts 60%
ACTUAL RESULT
Houston Texans won by 4
COMBINED SCORE
36
Margin of Victory — Indianapolis Colts (Home)
Pregame odds for every possible outcome, simulated before kickoff -- the highlighted bar is what actually happened.
Lost / Tied ← actual result
40%
Won by 1-3
9%
Won by 4-7
12%
Won by 8-14
18%
Won by 15-21
12%
Won by 21+
9%
Total Score — Over / Under
Combined final score against five common lines, plus this game's actual market line -- the real combined score was 36.
O/U LINE 30
88% over ✓12% under
O/U LINE 40
66% over34% under ✓
O/U LINE 44
54% over46% under ✓
O/U LINE 45.5 MARKET LINE
50% over50% under ✓
O/U LINE 48
42% over58% under ✓
O/U LINE 52
31% over69% under ✓
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Margin-of-victory breakdowns and total-score probabilities for every game are a free-account feature. This one's part of the paid slate — the Game of the Week is always free to view in full.
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