Chicago Bears vs Philadelphia Eagles — Win Probability
FINAL
Chicago Bears
7-3
24
VS
Philadelphia Eagles
5-2
15
Market line: PHI -6.5, total 44.5 · Model expected score: Chicago Bears 19.0 – Philadelphia Eagles 25.5
Ad space
Prediction vs. Result
We keep every prediction permanently so we can always show our work.
PREGAME WIN PROBABILITY
Eagles 69%
ACTUAL RESULT
Chicago Bears won by 9
COMBINED SCORE
39
Ad space
Margin of Victory — Philadelphia Eagles (Home)
Pregame odds for every possible outcome, simulated before kickoff -- the highlighted bar is what actually happened.
Lost / Tied ← actual result
31%
Won by 1-3
8%
Won by 4-7
12%
Won by 8-14
20%
Won by 15-21
15%
Won by 21+
14%
Total Score — Over / Under
Combined final score against five common lines, plus this game's actual market line -- the real combined score was 39.
O/U LINE 30
86% over ✓14% under
O/U LINE 40
63% over37% under ✓
O/U LINE 44
51% over49% under ✓
O/U LINE 44.5 MARKET LINE
50% over50% under ✓
O/U LINE 48
40% over60% under ✓
O/U LINE 52
29% over71% under ✓
🔒
Unlock Full Game Stats
Margin-of-victory breakdowns and total-score probabilities for every game are a free-account feature. This one's part of the paid slate — the Game of the Week is always free to view in full.
PFF player grades, lineup matchups, and betting-line insights for every game are a free-account feature. This one's part of the paid slate — the Game of the Week is always free to view in full.