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Chicago Bears vs Philadelphia Eagles — Win Probability

FINAL
Chicago Bears logo
Chicago Bears
7-3
24
VS
Philadelphia Eagles logo
Philadelphia Eagles
5-2
15
Market line: PHI -6.5, total 44.5 · Model expected score: Chicago Bears 19.0 – Philadelphia Eagles 25.5
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Prediction vs. Result

We keep every prediction permanently so we can always show our work.

PREGAME WIN PROBABILITY
Eagles 69%
ACTUAL RESULT
Chicago Bears won by 9
COMBINED SCORE
39
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Margin of Victory — Philadelphia Eagles (Home)

Pregame odds for every possible outcome, simulated before kickoff -- the highlighted bar is what actually happened.

Lost / Tied ← actual result
31%
Won by 1-3
8%
Won by 4-7
12%
Won by 8-14
20%
Won by 15-21
15%
Won by 21+
14%

Total Score — Over / Under

Combined final score against five common lines, plus this game's actual market line -- the real combined score was 39.

O/U LINE 30
86% over ✓14% under
O/U LINE 40
63% over37% under ✓
O/U LINE 44
51% over49% under ✓
O/U LINE 44.5 MARKET LINE
50% over50% under ✓
O/U LINE 48
40% over60% under ✓
O/U LINE 52
29% over71% under ✓
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Every number above comes from the model's live prediction data — 100,000 Monte Carlo simulations, grounded in the market line at generation time.

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