Atlanta Falcons vs New York Jets — Win Probability
FINAL
Atlanta Falcons
3-6
24
VS
New York Jets
2-6
27
Prediction vs. Result
We keep every prediction permanently so we can always show our work.
PREGAME WIN PROBABILITY
Falcons 54%
ACTUAL RESULT
New York Jets won by 3
COMBINED SCORE
51
Margin of Victory — New York Jets (Home)
Pregame odds for every possible outcome, simulated before kickoff -- the highlighted bar is what actually happened.
Lost / Tied
54%
Won by 1-3 ← actual result
9%
Won by 4-7
11%
Won by 8-14
14%
Won by 15-21
8%
Won by 21+
5%
Total Score — Over / Under
Combined final score against five common lines, plus this game's actual market line -- the real combined score was 51.
O/U LINE 30
74% over ✓26% under
O/U LINE 38.5 MARKET LINE
50% over ✓50% under
O/U LINE 40
45% over ✓55% under
O/U LINE 44
34% over ✓66% under
O/U LINE 48
24% over ✓76% under
O/U LINE 52
16% over84% under ✓
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Margin-of-victory breakdowns and total-score probabilities for every game are a free-account feature. This one's part of the paid slate — the Game of the Week is always free to view in full.
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