Arizona Cardinals vs Tampa Bay Buccaneers — Win Probability
FINAL
Arizona Cardinals
2-6
17
VS
Tampa Bay Buccaneers
5-4
20
Market line: TB -5.5, total 48.5 · Model expected score: Arizona Cardinals 21.5 – Tampa Bay Buccaneers 27.0
Ad space
Prediction vs. Result
We keep every prediction permanently so we can always show our work.
PREGAME WIN PROBABILITY
Buccaneers 66%
ACTUAL RESULT
Tampa Bay Buccaneers won by 3
COMBINED SCORE
37
Ad space
Margin of Victory — Tampa Bay Buccaneers (Home)
Pregame odds for every possible outcome, simulated before kickoff -- the highlighted bar is what actually happened.
Lost / Tied
34%
Won by 1-3 ← actual result
8%
Won by 4-7
12%
Won by 8-14
19%
Won by 15-21
14%
Won by 21+
12%
Total Score — Over / Under
Combined final score against five common lines, plus this game's actual market line -- the real combined score was 37.
O/U LINE 30
92% over ✓8% under
O/U LINE 40
74% over26% under ✓
O/U LINE 44
63% over37% under ✓
O/U LINE 48
51% over49% under ✓
O/U LINE 48.5 MARKET LINE
50% over50% under ✓
O/U LINE 52
39% over61% under ✓
🔒
Unlock Full Game Stats
Margin-of-victory breakdowns and total-score probabilities for every game are a free-account feature. This one's part of the paid slate — the Game of the Week is always free to view in full.
PFF player grades, lineup matchups, and betting-line insights for every game are a free-account feature. This one's part of the paid slate — the Game of the Week is always free to view in full.