New York Jets vs Baltimore Ravens — Win Probability
FINAL
New York Jets
2-5
10
VS
Baltimore Ravens
4-2
23
Prediction vs. Result
We keep every prediction permanently so we can always show our work.
PREGAME WIN PROBABILITY
Ravens 85%
ACTUAL RESULT
Baltimore Ravens won by 13
COMBINED SCORE
33
Margin of Victory — Baltimore Ravens (Home)
Pregame odds for every possible outcome, simulated before kickoff -- the highlighted bar is what actually happened.
Lost / Tied
15%
Won by 1-3
6%
Won by 4-7
10%
Won by 8-14 ← actual result
20%
Won by 15-21
20%
Won by 21+
29%
Total Score — Over / Under
Combined final score against five common lines, plus this game's actual market line -- the real combined score was 33.
O/U LINE 30
86% over ✓14% under
O/U LINE 40
63% over37% under ✓
O/U LINE 44
52% over48% under ✓
O/U LINE 44.5 MARKET LINE
50% over50% under ✓
O/U LINE 48
40% over60% under ✓
O/U LINE 52
29% over71% under ✓
Projected Margin Range — Baltimore Ravens (Home)
Negative means Baltimore Ravens lost by that many points. The shaded band is the 25th–75th percentile; the dot is the median.
P05: -8
Median: +13
P95: +35