Minnesota Vikings vs Green Bay Packers — Win Probability
FINAL
Minnesota Vikings
2-3
6
VS
Green Bay Packers
4-2
23
Market line: GB -5.5, total 42.5 · Model expected score: Minnesota Vikings 18.5 – Green Bay Packers 24.0
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Prediction vs. Result
We keep every prediction permanently so we can always show our work.
PREGAME WIN PROBABILITY
Packers 66%
ACTUAL RESULT
Green Bay Packers won by 17
COMBINED SCORE
29
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Margin of Victory — Green Bay Packers (Home)
Pregame odds for every possible outcome, simulated before kickoff -- the highlighted bar is what actually happened.
Lost / Tied
34%
Won by 1-3
8%
Won by 4-7
12%
Won by 8-14
19%
Won by 15-21 ← actual result
14%
Won by 21+
12%
Total Score — Over / Under
Combined final score against five common lines, plus this game's actual market line -- the real combined score was 29.
O/U LINE 30
83% over17% under ✓
O/U LINE 40
58% over42% under ✓
O/U LINE 42.5 MARKET LINE
50% over50% under ✓
O/U LINE 44
46% over54% under ✓
O/U LINE 48
34% over66% under ✓
O/U LINE 52
24% over76% under ✓
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