Indianapolis Colts vs Kansas City Chiefs — Win Probability
FINAL
Indianapolis Colts
7-2
20
VS
Kansas City Chiefs
2-3
23
Prediction vs. Result
We keep every prediction permanently so we can always show our work.
PREGAME WIN PROBABILITY
Chiefs 60%
ACTUAL RESULT
Kansas City Chiefs won by 3
COMBINED SCORE
43
Margin of Victory — Kansas City Chiefs (Home)
Pregame odds for every possible outcome, simulated before kickoff -- the highlighted bar is what actually happened.
Lost / Tied
40%
Won by 1-3 ← actual result
9%
Won by 4-7
12%
Won by 8-14
18%
Won by 15-21
12%
Won by 21+
9%
Total Score — Over / Under
Combined final score against five common lines, plus this game's actual market line -- the real combined score was 43.
O/U LINE 30
93% over ✓7% under
O/U LINE 40
76% over ✓24% under
O/U LINE 44
66% over34% under ✓
O/U LINE 48
55% over45% under ✓
O/U LINE 49.5 MARKET LINE
50% over50% under ✓
O/U LINE 52
43% over57% under ✓
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Margin-of-victory breakdowns and total-score probabilities for every game are a free-account feature. This one's part of the paid slate — the Game of the Week is always free to view in full.
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