Atlanta Falcons vs New Orleans Saints — Win Probability
FINAL
Atlanta Falcons
2-6
24
VS
New Orleans Saints
1-8
10
Prediction vs. Result
We keep every prediction permanently so we can always show our work.
PREGAME WIN PROBABILITY
Saints 54%
ACTUAL RESULT
Atlanta Falcons won by 14
COMBINED SCORE
34
Margin of Victory — New Orleans Saints (Home)
Pregame odds for every possible outcome, simulated before kickoff -- the highlighted bar is what actually happened.
Lost / Tied ← actual result
46%
Won by 1-3
9%
Won by 4-7
12%
Won by 8-14
17%
Won by 15-21
10%
Won by 21+
7%
Total Score — Over / Under
Combined final score against five common lines, plus this game's actual market line -- the real combined score was 34.
O/U LINE 30
76% over ✓24% under
O/U LINE 39.5 MARKET LINE
50% over50% under ✓
O/U LINE 40
49% over51% under ✓
O/U LINE 44
37% over63% under ✓
O/U LINE 48
26% over74% under ✓
O/U LINE 52
17% over83% under ✓
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