Tampa Bay Buccaneers vs Buffalo Bills — Win Probability
FINAL
Tampa Bay Buccaneers
5-3
32
VS
Buffalo Bills
5-3
44
Prediction vs. Result
We keep every prediction permanently so we can always show our work.
PREGAME WIN PROBABILITY
Bills 63%
ACTUAL RESULT
Buffalo Bills won by 12
COMBINED SCORE
76
Margin of Victory — Buffalo Bills (Home)
Pregame odds for every possible outcome, simulated before kickoff -- the highlighted bar is what actually happened.
Lost / Tied
37%
Won by 1-3
9%
Won by 4-7
12%
Won by 8-14 ← actual result
19%
Won by 15-21
13%
Won by 21+
11%
Total Score — Over / Under
Combined final score against five common lines, plus this game's actual market line -- the real combined score was 76.
O/U LINE 30
93% over ✓7% under
O/U LINE 40
76% over ✓24% under
O/U LINE 44
66% over ✓34% under
O/U LINE 48
54% over ✓46% under
O/U LINE 49.5 MARKET LINE
50% over ✓50% under
O/U LINE 52
42% over ✓58% under
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Margin-of-victory breakdowns and total-score probabilities for every game are a free-account feature. This one's part of the paid slate — the Game of the Week is always free to view in full.
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