San Francisco 49ers vs Arizona Cardinals — Win Probability
FINAL
San Francisco 49ers
5-4
41
VS
Arizona Cardinals
2-4
22
Market line: SF -1.5, total 46.5 · Model expected score: San Francisco 49ers 24.0 – Arizona Cardinals 22.5
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Prediction vs. Result
We keep every prediction permanently so we can always show our work.
PREGAME WIN PROBABILITY
49ers 55%
ACTUAL RESULT
San Francisco 49ers won by 19
COMBINED SCORE
63
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Margin of Victory — Arizona Cardinals (Home)
Pregame odds for every possible outcome, simulated before kickoff -- the highlighted bar is what actually happened.
Lost / Tied ← actual result
55%
Won by 1-3
9%
Won by 4-7
11%
Won by 8-14
14%
Won by 15-21
8%
Won by 21+
4%
Total Score — Over / Under
Combined final score against five common lines, plus this game's actual market line -- the real combined score was 63.
O/U LINE 30
89% over ✓11% under
O/U LINE 40
69% over ✓31% under
O/U LINE 44
57% over ✓43% under
O/U LINE 46.5 MARKET LINE
50% over ✓50% under
O/U LINE 48
46% over ✓54% under
O/U LINE 52
34% over ✓66% under
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