Green Bay Packers vs New York Giants — Win Probability
FINAL
Green Bay Packers
3-2
27
VS
New York Giants
1-6
20
Market line: GB -6.5, total 45.5 · Model expected score: Green Bay Packers 26.0 – New York Giants 19.5
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Prediction vs. Result
We keep every prediction permanently so we can always show our work.
PREGAME WIN PROBABILITY
Packers 69%
ACTUAL RESULT
Green Bay Packers won by 7
COMBINED SCORE
47
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Margin of Victory — New York Giants (Home)
Pregame odds for every possible outcome, simulated before kickoff -- the highlighted bar is what actually happened.
Lost / Tied ← actual result
69%
Won by 1-3
7%
Won by 4-7
8%
Won by 8-14
9%
Won by 15-21
4%
Won by 21+
2%
Total Score — Over / Under
Combined final score against five common lines, plus this game's actual market line -- the real combined score was 47.
O/U LINE 30
88% over ✓12% under
O/U LINE 40
66% over ✓34% under
O/U LINE 44
54% over ✓46% under
O/U LINE 45.5 MARKET LINE
50% over ✓50% under
O/U LINE 48
43% over57% under ✓
O/U LINE 52
31% over69% under ✓
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