CHI19
FINAL
17MIN
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Chicago Bears vs Minnesota Vikings — Win Probability

FINAL
Chicago Bears logo
Chicago Bears
5-3
19
VS
Minnesota Vikings logo
Minnesota Vikings
2-2
17
Market line: MIN -2.5, total 45.5 · Model expected score: Chicago Bears 21.5 – Minnesota Vikings 23.9
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Prediction vs. Result

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PREGAME WIN PROBABILITY
Vikings 57%
ACTUAL RESULT
Chicago Bears won by 2
COMBINED SCORE
36
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Margin of Victory — Minnesota Vikings (Home)

Pregame odds for every possible outcome, simulated before kickoff -- the highlighted bar is what actually happened.

Lost / Tied ← actual result
43%
Won by 1-3
9%
Won by 4-7
12%
Won by 8-14
17%
Won by 15-21
11%
Won by 21+
8%

Total Score — Over / Under

Combined final score against five common lines, plus this game's actual market line -- the real combined score was 36.

O/U LINE 30
88% over ✓12% under
O/U LINE 40
66% over34% under ✓
O/U LINE 44
54% over46% under ✓
O/U LINE 45.5 MARKET LINE
50% over50% under ✓
O/U LINE 48
43% over57% under ✓
O/U LINE 52
31% over69% under ✓
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Every number above comes from the model's live prediction data — 100,000 Monte Carlo simulations, grounded in the market line at generation time.

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