Baltimore Ravens vs Cleveland Browns — Win Probability
FINAL
Baltimore Ravens
3-2
23
VS
Cleveland Browns
2-6
16
Market line: BAL -7.5, total 41.5 · Model expected score: Baltimore Ravens 24.5 – Cleveland Browns 17.0
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Prediction vs. Result
We keep every prediction permanently so we can always show our work.
PREGAME WIN PROBABILITY
Ravens 71%
ACTUAL RESULT
Baltimore Ravens won by 7
COMBINED SCORE
39
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Margin of Victory — Cleveland Browns (Home)
Pregame odds for every possible outcome, simulated before kickoff -- the highlighted bar is what actually happened.
Lost / Tied ← actual result
71%
Won by 1-3
7%
Won by 4-7
8%
Won by 8-14
9%
Won by 15-21
4%
Won by 21+
2%
Total Score — Over / Under
Combined final score against five common lines, plus this game's actual market line -- the real combined score was 39.
O/U LINE 30
81% over ✓19% under
O/U LINE 40
54% over46% under ✓
O/U LINE 41.5 MARKET LINE
50% over50% under ✓
O/U LINE 44
43% over57% under ✓
O/U LINE 48
31% over69% under ✓
O/U LINE 52
22% over78% under ✓
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