New Orleans Saints vs Carolina Panthers — Win Probability
FINAL
New Orleans Saints
0-8
17
VS
Carolina Panthers
4-4
7
Market line: CAR -3.5, total 40.5 · Model expected score: New Orleans Saints 18.5 – Carolina Panthers 22.0
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Prediction vs. Result
We keep every prediction permanently so we can always show our work.
PREGAME WIN PROBABILITY
Panthers 60%
ACTUAL RESULT
New Orleans Saints won by 10
COMBINED SCORE
24
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Margin of Victory — Carolina Panthers (Home)
Pregame odds for every possible outcome, simulated before kickoff -- the highlighted bar is what actually happened.
Lost / Tied ← actual result
40%
Won by 1-3
9%
Won by 4-7
12%
Won by 8-14
18%
Won by 15-21
12%
Won by 21+
10%
Total Score — Over / Under
Combined final score against five common lines, plus this game's actual market line -- the real combined score was 24.
O/U LINE 30
78% over22% under ✓
O/U LINE 40
52% over48% under ✓
O/U LINE 40.5 MARKET LINE
50% over50% under ✓
O/U LINE 44
40% over60% under ✓
O/U LINE 48
29% over71% under ✓
O/U LINE 52
19% over81% under ✓
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