Los Angeles Rams vs San Francisco 49ers — Win Probability
FINAL
Los Angeles Rams
7-2
42
VS
San Francisco 49ers
5-3
26
Prediction vs. Result
We keep every prediction permanently so we can always show our work.
PREGAME WIN PROBABILITY
Rams 74%
ACTUAL RESULT
Los Angeles Rams won by 16
COMBINED SCORE
68
Margin of Victory — San Francisco 49ers (Home)
Pregame odds for every possible outcome, simulated before kickoff -- the highlighted bar is what actually happened.
Lost / Tied ← actual result
74%
Won by 1-3
7%
Won by 4-7
7%
Won by 8-14
8%
Won by 15-21
3%
Won by 21+
1%
Total Score — Over / Under
Combined final score against five common lines, plus this game's actual market line -- the real combined score was 68.
O/U LINE 30
90% over ✓10% under
O/U LINE 40
71% over ✓29% under
O/U LINE 44
60% over ✓40% under
O/U LINE 47.5 MARKET LINE
50% over ✓50% under
O/U LINE 48
48% over ✓52% under
O/U LINE 52
37% over ✓63% under
Projected Margin Range — San Francisco 49ers (Home)
Negative means San Francisco 49ers lost by that many points. The shaded band is the 25th–75th percentile; the dot is the median.
P05: -30
Median: -8
P95: +13