Jacksonville Jaguars vs Houston Texans — Win Probability
FINAL
Jacksonville Jaguars
4-3
29
VS
Houston Texans
2-5
36
Prediction vs. Result
We keep every prediction permanently so we can always show our work.
PREGAME WIN PROBABILITY
Texans 58%
ACTUAL RESULT
Houston Texans won by 7
COMBINED SCORE
65
Margin of Victory — Houston Texans (Home)
Pregame odds for every possible outcome, simulated before kickoff -- the highlighted bar is what actually happened.
Lost / Tied
42%
Won by 1-3
9%
Won by 4-7 ← actual result
12%
Won by 8-14
17%
Won by 15-21
11%
Won by 21+
8%
Total Score — Over / Under
Combined final score against five common lines, plus this game's actual market line -- the real combined score was 65.
O/U LINE 30
81% over ✓19% under
O/U LINE 40
55% over ✓45% under
O/U LINE 41.5 MARKET LINE
50% over ✓50% under
O/U LINE 44
43% over ✓57% under
O/U LINE 48
31% over ✓69% under
O/U LINE 52
21% over ✓79% under
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Margin-of-victory breakdowns and total-score probabilities for every game are a free-account feature. This one's part of the paid slate — the Game of the Week is always free to view in full.
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