BAL27
FINAL
19MIN
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Baltimore Ravens vs Minnesota Vikings — Win Probability

FINAL
Baltimore Ravens logo
Baltimore Ravens
2-2
27
VS
Minnesota Vikings logo
Minnesota Vikings
2-1
19
Market line: BAL -3.5, total 45.5 · Model expected score: Baltimore Ravens 24.5 – Minnesota Vikings 21.0
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Prediction vs. Result

We keep every prediction permanently so we can always show our work.

PREGAME WIN PROBABILITY
Ravens 60%
ACTUAL RESULT
Baltimore Ravens won by 8
COMBINED SCORE
46
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Margin of Victory — Minnesota Vikings (Home)

Pregame odds for every possible outcome, simulated before kickoff -- the highlighted bar is what actually happened.

Lost / Tied ← actual result
60%
Won by 1-3
9%
Won by 4-7
10%
Won by 8-14
12%
Won by 15-21
6%
Won by 21+
3%

Total Score — Over / Under

Combined final score against five common lines, plus this game's actual market line -- the real combined score was 46.

O/U LINE 30
88% over ✓12% under
O/U LINE 40
66% over ✓34% under
O/U LINE 44
55% over ✓45% under
O/U LINE 45.5 MARKET LINE
50% over ✓50% under
O/U LINE 48
43% over57% under ✓
O/U LINE 52
31% over69% under ✓
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Every number above comes from the model's live prediction data — 100,000 Monte Carlo simulations, grounded in the market line at generation time.

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