Arizona Cardinals vs Seattle Seahawks — Win Probability
FINAL
Arizona Cardinals
2-3
22
VS
Seattle Seahawks
5-1
44
Market line: SEA -5.5, total 44.5 · Model expected score: Arizona Cardinals 19.5 – Seattle Seahawks 25.0
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Prediction vs. Result
We keep every prediction permanently so we can always show our work.
PREGAME WIN PROBABILITY
Seahawks 66%
ACTUAL RESULT
Seattle Seahawks won by 22
COMBINED SCORE
66
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Margin of Victory — Seattle Seahawks (Home)
Pregame odds for every possible outcome, simulated before kickoff -- the highlighted bar is what actually happened.
Lost / Tied
34%
Won by 1-3
9%
Won by 4-7
12%
Won by 8-14
19%
Won by 15-21
14%
Won by 21+ ← actual result
12%
Total Score — Over / Under
Combined final score against five common lines, plus this game's actual market line -- the real combined score was 66.
O/U LINE 30
86% over ✓14% under
O/U LINE 40
63% over ✓37% under
O/U LINE 44
51% over ✓49% under
O/U LINE 44.5 MARKET LINE
50% over ✓50% under
O/U LINE 48
39% over ✓61% under
O/U LINE 52
29% over ✓71% under
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