New Orleans Saints vs Los Angeles Rams — Win Probability
FINAL
New Orleans Saints
0-7
10
VS
Los Angeles Rams
6-2
34
Market line: LAR -10.5, total 44.5 · Model expected score: New Orleans Saints 17.0 – Los Angeles Rams 27.5
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Prediction vs. Result
We keep every prediction permanently so we can always show our work.
PREGAME WIN PROBABILITY
Rams 79%
ACTUAL RESULT
Los Angeles Rams won by 24
COMBINED SCORE
44
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Margin of Victory — Los Angeles Rams (Home)
Pregame odds for every possible outcome, simulated before kickoff -- the highlighted bar is what actually happened.
Lost / Tied
21%
Won by 1-3
7%
Won by 4-7
11%
Won by 8-14
21%
Won by 15-21
18%
Won by 21+ ← actual result
21%
Total Score — Over / Under
Combined final score against five common lines, plus this game's actual market line -- the real combined score was 44.
O/U LINE 30
86% over ✓14% under
O/U LINE 40
63% over ✓37% under
O/U LINE 44
51% over49% under ✓
O/U LINE 44.5 MARKET LINE
50% over50% under ✓
O/U LINE 48
40% over60% under ✓
O/U LINE 52
29% over71% under ✓
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