MIN27
FINAL
24DET
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Minnesota Vikings vs Detroit Lions — Win Probability

FINAL
Minnesota Vikings logo
Minnesota Vikings
1-1
27
VS
Detroit Lions logo
Detroit Lions
3-1
24
Market line: DET -7.5, total 47.5 · Model expected score: Minnesota Vikings 20.0 – Detroit Lions 27.5
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Prediction vs. Result

We keep every prediction permanently so we can always show our work.

PREGAME WIN PROBABILITY
Lions 71%
ACTUAL RESULT
Minnesota Vikings won by 3
COMBINED SCORE
51
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Margin of Victory — Detroit Lions (Home)

Pregame odds for every possible outcome, simulated before kickoff -- the highlighted bar is what actually happened.

Lost / Tied ← actual result
29%
Won by 1-3
8%
Won by 4-7
12%
Won by 8-14
20%
Won by 15-21
16%
Won by 21+
16%

Total Score — Over / Under

Combined final score against five common lines, plus this game's actual market line -- the real combined score was 51.

O/U LINE 30
91% over ✓9% under
O/U LINE 40
71% over ✓29% under
O/U LINE 44
60% over ✓40% under
O/U LINE 47.5 MARKET LINE
50% over ✓50% under
O/U LINE 48
49% over ✓51% under
O/U LINE 52
37% over63% under ✓
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Every number above comes from the model's live prediction data — 100,000 Monte Carlo simulations, grounded in the market line at generation time.

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