Los Angeles Chargers vs Tennessee Titans — Win Probability
FINAL
Los Angeles Chargers
2-2
27
VS
Tennessee Titans
0-7
20
Market line: LAC -7.5, total 43.5 · Model expected score: Los Angeles Chargers 25.5 – Tennessee Titans 18.0
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Prediction vs. Result
We keep every prediction permanently so we can always show our work.
PREGAME WIN PROBABILITY
Chargers 71%
ACTUAL RESULT
Los Angeles Chargers won by 7
COMBINED SCORE
47
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Margin of Victory — Tennessee Titans (Home)
Pregame odds for every possible outcome, simulated before kickoff -- the highlighted bar is what actually happened.
Lost / Tied ← actual result
71%
Won by 1-3
7%
Won by 4-7
8%
Won by 8-14
8%
Won by 15-21
4%
Won by 21+
2%
Total Score — Over / Under
Combined final score against five common lines, plus this game's actual market line -- the real combined score was 47.
O/U LINE 30
84% over ✓16% under
O/U LINE 40
60% over ✓40% under
O/U LINE 43.5 MARKET LINE
50% over ✓50% under
O/U LINE 44
48% over ✓52% under
O/U LINE 48
37% over63% under ✓
O/U LINE 52
26% over74% under ✓
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