Jacksonville Jaguars vs Las Vegas Raiders — Win Probability
FINAL
Jacksonville Jaguars
3-3
30
VS
Las Vegas Raiders
2-3
29
Prediction vs. Result
We keep every prediction permanently so we can always show our work.
PREGAME WIN PROBABILITY
Jaguars 74%
ACTUAL RESULT
Jacksonville Jaguars won by 1
COMBINED SCORE
59
Margin of Victory — Las Vegas Raiders (Home)
Pregame odds for every possible outcome, simulated before kickoff -- the highlighted bar is what actually happened.
Lost / Tied ← actual result
74%
Won by 1-3
7%
Won by 4-7
7%
Won by 8-14
8%
Won by 15-21
3%
Won by 21+
1%
Total Score — Over / Under
Combined final score against five common lines, plus this game's actual market line -- the real combined score was 59.
O/U LINE 30
84% over ✓16% under
O/U LINE 40
60% over ✓40% under
O/U LINE 43.5 MARKET LINE
50% over ✓50% under
O/U LINE 44
48% over ✓52% under
O/U LINE 48
37% over ✓63% under
O/U LINE 52
26% over ✓74% under
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