Indianapolis Colts vs Pittsburgh Steelers — Win Probability
FINAL
Indianapolis Colts
6-1
20
VS
Pittsburgh Steelers
3-1
27
Prediction vs. Result
We keep every prediction permanently so we can always show our work.
PREGAME WIN PROBABILITY
Colts 57%
ACTUAL RESULT
Pittsburgh Steelers won by 7
COMBINED SCORE
47
Margin of Victory — Pittsburgh Steelers (Home)
Pregame odds for every possible outcome, simulated before kickoff -- the highlighted bar is what actually happened.
Lost / Tied
57%
Won by 1-3
9%
Won by 4-7 ← actual result
10%
Won by 8-14
13%
Won by 15-21
7%
Won by 21+
4%
Total Score — Over / Under
Combined final score against five common lines, plus this game's actual market line -- the real combined score was 47.
O/U LINE 30
92% over ✓8% under
O/U LINE 40
73% over ✓27% under
O/U LINE 44
63% over ✓37% under
O/U LINE 48
51% over49% under ✓
O/U LINE 48.5 MARKET LINE
50% over50% under ✓
O/U LINE 52
39% over61% under ✓
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Margin-of-victory breakdowns and total-score probabilities for every game are a free-account feature. This one's part of the paid slate — the Game of the Week is always free to view in full.
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