CHI47
FINAL
42CIN
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Chicago Bears vs Cincinnati Bengals — Win Probability

FINAL
Chicago Bears logo
Chicago Bears
3-3
47
VS
Cincinnati Bengals logo
Cincinnati Bengals
2-3
42
Market line: CHI -1.5, total 47.5 · Model expected score: Chicago Bears 24.5 – Cincinnati Bengals 23.0
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Prediction vs. Result

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PREGAME WIN PROBABILITY
Bears 55%
ACTUAL RESULT
Chicago Bears won by 5
COMBINED SCORE
89
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Margin of Victory — Cincinnati Bengals (Home)

Pregame odds for every possible outcome, simulated before kickoff -- the highlighted bar is what actually happened.

Lost / Tied ← actual result
55%
Won by 1-3
9%
Won by 4-7
11%
Won by 8-14
14%
Won by 15-21
8%
Won by 21+
5%

Total Score — Over / Under

Combined final score against five common lines, plus this game's actual market line -- the real combined score was 89.

O/U LINE 30
91% over ✓9% under
O/U LINE 40
71% over ✓29% under
O/U LINE 44
60% over ✓40% under
O/U LINE 47.5 MARKET LINE
50% over ✓50% under
O/U LINE 48
49% over ✓51% under
O/U LINE 52
37% over ✓63% under
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Every number above comes from the model's live prediction data — 100,000 Monte Carlo simulations, grounded in the market line at generation time.

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