Tampa Bay Buccaneers vs New Orleans Saints — Win Probability
FINAL
Tampa Bay Buccaneers
4-2
23
VS
New Orleans Saints
0-6
3
Prediction vs. Result
We keep every prediction permanently so we can always show our work.
PREGAME WIN PROBABILITY
Buccaneers 63%
ACTUAL RESULT
Tampa Bay Buccaneers won by 20
COMBINED SCORE
26
Margin of Victory — New Orleans Saints (Home)
Pregame odds for every possible outcome, simulated before kickoff -- the highlighted bar is what actually happened.
Lost / Tied ← actual result
63%
Won by 1-3
8%
Won by 4-7
9%
Won by 8-14
11%
Won by 15-21
5%
Won by 21+
3%
Total Score — Over / Under
Combined final score against five common lines, plus this game's actual market line -- the real combined score was 26.
O/U LINE 30
90% over10% under ✓
O/U LINE 40
71% over29% under ✓
O/U LINE 44
60% over40% under ✓
O/U LINE 47.5 MARKET LINE
50% over50% under ✓
O/U LINE 48
48% over52% under ✓
O/U LINE 52
37% over63% under ✓
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