San Francisco 49ers vs Houston Texans — Win Probability
FINAL
San Francisco 49ers
4-2
15
VS
Houston Texans
1-4
26
Prediction vs. Result
We keep every prediction permanently so we can always show our work.
PREGAME WIN PROBABILITY
Texans 54%
ACTUAL RESULT
Houston Texans won by 11
COMBINED SCORE
41
Margin of Victory — Houston Texans (Home)
Pregame odds for every possible outcome, simulated before kickoff -- the highlighted bar is what actually happened.
Lost / Tied
46%
Won by 1-3
9%
Won by 4-7
12%
Won by 8-14 ← actual result
16%
Won by 15-21
10%
Won by 21+
7%
Total Score — Over / Under
Combined final score against five common lines, plus this game's actual market line -- the real combined score was 41.
O/U LINE 30
85% over ✓15% under
O/U LINE 40
60% over ✓40% under
O/U LINE 43.5 MARKET LINE
50% over50% under ✓
O/U LINE 44
48% over52% under ✓
O/U LINE 48
37% over63% under ✓
O/U LINE 52
26% over74% under ✓
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Margin-of-victory breakdowns and total-score probabilities for every game are a free-account feature. This one's part of the paid slate — the Game of the Week is always free to view in full.
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