New York Giants vs Philadelphia Eagles — Win Probability
FINAL
New York Giants
1-3
20
VS
Philadelphia Eagles
4-1
38
Market line: PHI -7.5, total 41.5 · Model expected score: New York Giants 17.0 – Philadelphia Eagles 24.5
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Prediction vs. Result
We keep every prediction permanently so we can always show our work.
PREGAME WIN PROBABILITY
Eagles 72%
ACTUAL RESULT
Philadelphia Eagles won by 18
COMBINED SCORE
58
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Margin of Victory — Philadelphia Eagles (Home)
Pregame odds for every possible outcome, simulated before kickoff -- the highlighted bar is what actually happened.
Lost / Tied
28%
Won by 1-3
8%
Won by 4-7
12%
Won by 8-14
21%
Won by 15-21 ← actual result
16%
Won by 21+
15%
Total Score — Over / Under
Combined final score against five common lines, plus this game's actual market line -- the real combined score was 58.
O/U LINE 30
81% over ✓19% under
O/U LINE 40
55% over ✓45% under
O/U LINE 41.5 MARKET LINE
50% over ✓50% under
O/U LINE 44
43% over ✓57% under
O/U LINE 48
31% over ✓69% under
O/U LINE 52
22% over ✓78% under
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