Washington Commanders vs Dallas Cowboys — Win Probability
FINAL
Washington Commanders
2-1
22
VS
Dallas Cowboys
1-2
44
Prediction vs. Result
We keep every prediction permanently so we can always show our work.
PREGAME WIN PROBABILITY
Commanders 54%
ACTUAL RESULT
Dallas Cowboys won by 22
COMBINED SCORE
66
Margin of Victory — Dallas Cowboys (Home)
Pregame odds for every possible outcome, simulated before kickoff -- the highlighted bar is what actually happened.
Lost / Tied
54%
Won by 1-3
9%
Won by 4-7
11%
Won by 8-14
14%
Won by 15-21
8%
Won by 21+ ← actual result
5%
Total Score — Over / Under
Combined final score against five common lines, plus this game's actual market line -- the real combined score was 66.
O/U LINE 30
95% over ✓5% under
O/U LINE 40
81% over ✓19% under
O/U LINE 44
71% over ✓29% under
O/U LINE 48
60% over ✓40% under
O/U LINE 51.5 MARKET LINE
50% over ✓50% under
O/U LINE 52
49% over ✓51% under
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Margin-of-victory breakdowns and total-score probabilities for every game are a free-account feature. This one's part of the paid slate — the Game of the Week is always free to view in full.
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