Tampa Bay Buccaneers vs Detroit Lions — Win Probability
FINAL
Tampa Bay Buccaneers
4-1
9
VS
Detroit Lions
2-1
24
Prediction vs. Result
We keep every prediction permanently so we can always show our work.
PREGAME WIN PROBABILITY
Lions 63%
ACTUAL RESULT
Detroit Lions won by 15
COMBINED SCORE
33
Margin of Victory — Detroit Lions (Home)
Pregame odds for every possible outcome, simulated before kickoff -- the highlighted bar is what actually happened.
Lost / Tied
37%
Won by 1-3
9%
Won by 4-7
12%
Won by 8-14
19%
Won by 15-21 ← actual result
13%
Won by 21+
11%
Total Score — Over / Under
Combined final score against five common lines, plus this game's actual market line -- the real combined score was 33.
O/U LINE 30
95% over ✓5% under
O/U LINE 40
82% over18% under ✓
O/U LINE 44
74% over26% under ✓
O/U LINE 48
63% over37% under ✓
O/U LINE 52
51% over49% under ✓
O/U LINE 52.5 MARKET LINE
50% over50% under ✓
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Margin-of-victory breakdowns and total-score probabilities for every game are a free-account feature. This one's part of the paid slate — the Game of the Week is always free to view in full.
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