PHI28
FINAL
22MIN
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Philadelphia Eagles vs Minnesota Vikings — Win Probability

FINAL
Philadelphia Eagles logo
Philadelphia Eagles
3-1
28
VS
Minnesota Vikings logo
Minnesota Vikings
1-0
22
Market line: PHI -9.5, total 41.5 · Model expected score: Philadelphia Eagles 25.5 – Minnesota Vikings 16.0
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Prediction vs. Result

We keep every prediction permanently so we can always show our work.

PREGAME WIN PROBABILITY
Eagles 76%
ACTUAL RESULT
Philadelphia Eagles won by 6
COMBINED SCORE
50
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Margin of Victory — Minnesota Vikings (Home)

Pregame odds for every possible outcome, simulated before kickoff -- the highlighted bar is what actually happened.

Lost / Tied ← actual result
76%
Won by 1-3
6%
Won by 4-7
7%
Won by 8-14
7%
Won by 15-21
3%
Won by 21+
1%

Total Score — Over / Under

Combined final score against five common lines, plus this game's actual market line -- the real combined score was 50.

O/U LINE 30
81% over ✓19% under
O/U LINE 40
54% over ✓46% under
O/U LINE 41.5 MARKET LINE
50% over ✓50% under
O/U LINE 44
43% over ✓57% under
O/U LINE 48
31% over ✓69% under
O/U LINE 52
22% over78% under ✓
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Every number above comes from the model's live prediction data — 100,000 Monte Carlo simulations, grounded in the market line at generation time.

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