NYG32
FINAL
33DEN
← back to predictions

New York Giants vs Denver Broncos — Win Probability

FINAL
New York Giants logo
New York Giants
1-2
32
VS
Denver Broncos logo
Denver Broncos
2-3
33
Market line: DEN -7.5, total 40.5 · Model expected score: New York Giants 16.5 – Denver Broncos 24.0
Ad space

Prediction vs. Result

We keep every prediction permanently so we can always show our work.

PREGAME WIN PROBABILITY
Broncos 71%
ACTUAL RESULT
Denver Broncos won by 1
COMBINED SCORE
65
Ad space

Margin of Victory — Denver Broncos (Home)

Pregame odds for every possible outcome, simulated before kickoff -- the highlighted bar is what actually happened.

Lost / Tied
29%
Won by 1-3 ← actual result
8%
Won by 4-7
12%
Won by 8-14
20%
Won by 15-21
16%
Won by 21+
16%

Total Score — Over / Under

Combined final score against five common lines, plus this game's actual market line -- the real combined score was 65.

O/U LINE 30
78% over ✓22% under
O/U LINE 40
52% over ✓48% under
O/U LINE 40.5 MARKET LINE
50% over ✓50% under
O/U LINE 44
40% over ✓60% under
O/U LINE 48
29% over ✓71% under
O/U LINE 52
20% over ✓80% under
🔒

Unlock Full Game Stats

Margin-of-victory breakdowns and total-score probabilities for every game are a free-account feature. This one's part of the paid slate — the Game of the Week is always free to view in full.

Sign Up Free

Every number above comes from the model's live prediction data — 100,000 Monte Carlo simulations, grounded in the market line at generation time.

Ad space
🔒

Unlock Matchups & Betting Edge

PFF player grades, lineup matchups, and betting-line insights for every game are a free-account feature. This one's part of the paid slate — the Game of the Week is always free to view in full.

Sign Up Free