New England Patriots vs Tennessee Titans — Win Probability
FINAL
New England Patriots
4-3
31
VS
Tennessee Titans
0-5
13
Prediction vs. Result
We keep every prediction permanently so we can always show our work.
PREGAME WIN PROBABILITY
Patriots 66%
ACTUAL RESULT
New England Patriots won by 18
COMBINED SCORE
44
Margin of Victory — Tennessee Titans (Home)
Pregame odds for every possible outcome, simulated before kickoff -- the highlighted bar is what actually happened.
Lost / Tied ← actual result
66%
Won by 1-3
8%
Won by 4-7
9%
Won by 8-14
10%
Won by 15-21
5%
Won by 21+
2%
Total Score — Over / Under
Combined final score against five common lines, plus this game's actual market line -- the real combined score was 44.
O/U LINE 30
82% over ✓18% under
O/U LINE 40
57% over ✓43% under
O/U LINE 42.5 MARKET LINE
50% over ✓50% under
O/U LINE 44
45% over55% under ✓
O/U LINE 48
34% over66% under ✓
O/U LINE 52
24% over76% under ✓
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