Green Bay Packers vs Arizona Cardinals — Win Probability
FINAL
Green Bay Packers
2-1
27
VS
Arizona Cardinals
2-2
23
Market line: GB -4.5, total 44.5 · Model expected score: Green Bay Packers 24.5 – Arizona Cardinals 20.0
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Prediction vs. Result
We keep every prediction permanently so we can always show our work.
PREGAME WIN PROBABILITY
Packers 63%
ACTUAL RESULT
Green Bay Packers won by 4
COMBINED SCORE
50
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Margin of Victory — Arizona Cardinals (Home)
Pregame odds for every possible outcome, simulated before kickoff -- the highlighted bar is what actually happened.
Lost / Tied ← actual result
63%
Won by 1-3
8%
Won by 4-7
9%
Won by 8-14
11%
Won by 15-21
5%
Won by 21+
3%
Total Score — Over / Under
Combined final score against five common lines, plus this game's actual market line -- the real combined score was 50.
O/U LINE 30
86% over ✓14% under
O/U LINE 40
63% over ✓37% under
O/U LINE 44
52% over ✓48% under
O/U LINE 44.5 MARKET LINE
50% over ✓50% under
O/U LINE 48
40% over ✓60% under
O/U LINE 52
29% over71% under ✓
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