Carolina Panthers vs New York Jets — Win Probability
FINAL
Carolina Panthers
2-3
13
VS
New York Jets
0-4
6
Market line: NYJ -2.5, total 44.5 · Model expected score: Carolina Panthers 21.0 – New York Jets 23.5
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Prediction vs. Result
We keep every prediction permanently so we can always show our work.
PREGAME WIN PROBABILITY
Jets 58%
ACTUAL RESULT
Carolina Panthers won by 7
COMBINED SCORE
19
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Margin of Victory — New York Jets (Home)
Pregame odds for every possible outcome, simulated before kickoff -- the highlighted bar is what actually happened.
Lost / Tied ← actual result
42%
Won by 1-3
9%
Won by 4-7
12%
Won by 8-14
17%
Won by 15-21
11%
Won by 21+
8%
Total Score — Over / Under
Combined final score against five common lines, plus this game's actual market line -- the real combined score was 19.
O/U LINE 30
86% over14% under ✓
O/U LINE 40
63% over37% under ✓
O/U LINE 44
52% over48% under ✓
O/U LINE 44.5 MARKET LINE
50% over50% under ✓
O/U LINE 48
40% over60% under ✓
O/U LINE 52
29% over71% under ✓
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