Tennessee Titans vs Las Vegas Raiders — Win Probability
FINAL
Tennessee Titans
0-4
10
VS
Las Vegas Raiders
1-2
20
Market line: LV -4.5, total 40.5 · Model expected score: Tennessee Titans 18.0 – Las Vegas Raiders 22.5
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Prediction vs. Result
We keep every prediction permanently so we can always show our work.
PREGAME WIN PROBABILITY
Raiders 63%
ACTUAL RESULT
Las Vegas Raiders won by 10
COMBINED SCORE
30
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Margin of Victory — Las Vegas Raiders (Home)
Pregame odds for every possible outcome, simulated before kickoff -- the highlighted bar is what actually happened.
Lost / Tied
37%
Won by 1-3
9%
Won by 4-7
12%
Won by 8-14 ← actual result
19%
Won by 15-21
13%
Won by 21+
11%
Total Score — Over / Under
Combined final score against five common lines, plus this game's actual market line -- the real combined score was 30.
O/U LINE 30
78% over22% under ✓
O/U LINE 40
52% over48% under ✓
O/U LINE 40.5 MARKET LINE
50% over50% under ✓
O/U LINE 44
40% over60% under ✓
O/U LINE 48
29% over71% under ✓
O/U LINE 52
19% over81% under ✓
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