San Francisco 49ers vs Tampa Bay Buccaneers — Win Probability
FINAL
San Francisco 49ers
4-1
19
VS
Tampa Bay Buccaneers
3-1
30
Prediction vs. Result
We keep every prediction permanently so we can always show our work.
PREGAME WIN PROBABILITY
49ers 71%
ACTUAL RESULT
Tampa Bay Buccaneers won by 11
COMBINED SCORE
49
Margin of Victory — Tampa Bay Buccaneers (Home)
Pregame odds for every possible outcome, simulated before kickoff -- the highlighted bar is what actually happened.
Lost / Tied
71%
Won by 1-3
7%
Won by 4-7
8%
Won by 8-14 ← actual result
8%
Won by 15-21
4%
Won by 21+
2%
Total Score — Over / Under
Combined final score against five common lines, plus this game's actual market line -- the real combined score was 49.
O/U LINE 30
90% over ✓10% under
O/U LINE 40
71% over ✓29% under
O/U LINE 44
60% over ✓40% under
O/U LINE 47.5 MARKET LINE
50% over ✓50% under
O/U LINE 48
49% over ✓51% under
O/U LINE 52
37% over63% under ✓
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