New England Patriots vs New Orleans Saints — Win Probability
FINAL
New England Patriots
3-3
25
VS
New Orleans Saints
0-4
19
Prediction vs. Result
We keep every prediction permanently so we can always show our work.
PREGAME WIN PROBABILITY
Patriots 60%
ACTUAL RESULT
New England Patriots won by 6
COMBINED SCORE
44
Margin of Victory — New Orleans Saints (Home)
Pregame odds for every possible outcome, simulated before kickoff -- the highlighted bar is what actually happened.
Lost / Tied ← actual result
60%
Won by 1-3
8%
Won by 4-7
10%
Won by 8-14
12%
Won by 15-21
6%
Won by 21+
3%
Total Score — Over / Under
Combined final score against five common lines, plus this game's actual market line -- the real combined score was 44.
O/U LINE 30
88% over ✓12% under
O/U LINE 40
66% over ✓34% under
O/U LINE 44
54% over46% under ✓
O/U LINE 45.5 MARKET LINE
50% over50% under ✓
O/U LINE 48
42% over58% under ✓
O/U LINE 52
31% over69% under ✓
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Margin-of-victory breakdowns and total-score probabilities for every game are a free-account feature. This one's part of the paid slate — the Game of the Week is always free to view in full.
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