Los Angeles Chargers vs Miami Dolphins — Win Probability
FINAL
Los Angeles Chargers
1-1
29
VS
Miami Dolphins
1-2
27
Prediction vs. Result
We keep every prediction permanently so we can always show our work.
PREGAME WIN PROBABILITY
Chargers 64%
ACTUAL RESULT
Los Angeles Chargers won by 2
COMBINED SCORE
56
Margin of Victory — Miami Dolphins (Home)
Pregame odds for every possible outcome, simulated before kickoff -- the highlighted bar is what actually happened.
Lost / Tied ← actual result
64%
Won by 1-3
8%
Won by 4-7
9%
Won by 8-14
11%
Won by 15-21
5%
Won by 21+
3%
Total Score — Over / Under
Combined final score against five common lines, plus this game's actual market line -- the real combined score was 56.
O/U LINE 30
84% over ✓16% under
O/U LINE 40
61% over ✓39% under
O/U LINE 43.5 MARKET LINE
50% over ✓50% under
O/U LINE 44
49% over ✓51% under
O/U LINE 48
37% over ✓63% under
O/U LINE 52
26% over ✓74% under
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