Dallas Cowboys vs Carolina Panthers — Win Probability
FINAL
Dallas Cowboys
1-1
27
VS
Carolina Panthers
1-3
30
Market line: DAL -3.5, total 48.5 · Model expected score: Dallas Cowboys 26.0 – Carolina Panthers 22.5
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Prediction vs. Result
We keep every prediction permanently so we can always show our work.
PREGAME WIN PROBABILITY
Cowboys 61%
ACTUAL RESULT
Carolina Panthers won by 3
COMBINED SCORE
57
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Margin of Victory — Carolina Panthers (Home)
Pregame odds for every possible outcome, simulated before kickoff -- the highlighted bar is what actually happened.
Lost / Tied
61%
Won by 1-3 ← actual result
8%
Won by 4-7
9%
Won by 8-14
12%
Won by 15-21
6%
Won by 21+
3%
Total Score — Over / Under
Combined final score against five common lines, plus this game's actual market line -- the real combined score was 57.
O/U LINE 30
92% over ✓8% under
O/U LINE 40
74% over ✓26% under
O/U LINE 44
63% over ✓37% under
O/U LINE 48
52% over ✓48% under
O/U LINE 48.5 MARKET LINE
50% over ✓50% under
O/U LINE 52
40% over ✓60% under
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