Cleveland Browns vs Pittsburgh Steelers — Win Probability
FINAL
Cleveland Browns
1-3
9
VS
Pittsburgh Steelers
2-1
23
Prediction vs. Result
We keep every prediction permanently so we can always show our work.
PREGAME WIN PROBABILITY
Steelers 63%
ACTUAL RESULT
Pittsburgh Steelers won by 14
COMBINED SCORE
32
Margin of Victory — Pittsburgh Steelers (Home)
Pregame odds for every possible outcome, simulated before kickoff -- the highlighted bar is what actually happened.
Lost / Tied
37%
Won by 1-3
9%
Won by 4-7
12%
Won by 8-14 ← actual result
19%
Won by 15-21
13%
Won by 21+
11%
Total Score — Over / Under
Combined final score against five common lines, plus this game's actual market line -- the real combined score was 32.
O/U LINE 30
71% over ✓29% under
O/U LINE 37.5 MARKET LINE
50% over50% under ✓
O/U LINE 40
43% over57% under ✓
O/U LINE 44
31% over69% under ✓
O/U LINE 48
21% over79% under ✓
O/U LINE 52
14% over86% under ✓
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