Philadelphia Eagles vs Tampa Bay Buccaneers — Win Probability
FINAL
Philadelphia Eagles
2-1
31
VS
Tampa Bay Buccaneers
3-0
25
Prediction vs. Result
We keep every prediction permanently so we can always show our work.
PREGAME WIN PROBABILITY
Eagles 57%
ACTUAL RESULT
Philadelphia Eagles won by 6
COMBINED SCORE
56
Margin of Victory — Tampa Bay Buccaneers (Home)
Pregame odds for every possible outcome, simulated before kickoff -- the highlighted bar is what actually happened.
Lost / Tied ← actual result
57%
Won by 1-3
9%
Won by 4-7
10%
Won by 8-14
13%
Won by 15-21
7%
Won by 21+
4%
Total Score — Over / Under
Combined final score against five common lines, plus this game's actual market line -- the real combined score was 56.
O/U LINE 30
96% over ✓4% under
O/U LINE 40
84% over ✓16% under
O/U LINE 44
76% over ✓24% under
O/U LINE 48
66% over ✓34% under
O/U LINE 52
54% over ✓46% under
O/U LINE 53.5 MARKET LINE
50% over ✓50% under
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