Jacksonville Jaguars vs San Francisco 49ers — Win Probability
FINAL
Jacksonville Jaguars
2-2
26
VS
San Francisco 49ers
4-0
21
Prediction vs. Result
We keep every prediction permanently so we can always show our work.
PREGAME WIN PROBABILITY
49ers 66%
ACTUAL RESULT
Jacksonville Jaguars won by 5
COMBINED SCORE
47
Margin of Victory — San Francisco 49ers (Home)
Pregame odds for every possible outcome, simulated before kickoff -- the highlighted bar is what actually happened.
Lost / Tied ← actual result
34%
Won by 1-3
9%
Won by 4-7
12%
Won by 8-14
19%
Won by 15-21
14%
Won by 21+
12%
Total Score — Over / Under
Combined final score against five common lines, plus this game's actual market line -- the real combined score was 47.
O/U LINE 30
90% over ✓10% under
O/U LINE 40
71% over ✓29% under
O/U LINE 44
60% over ✓40% under
O/U LINE 47.5 MARKET LINE
50% over50% under ✓
O/U LINE 48
48% over52% under ✓
O/U LINE 52
37% over63% under ✓
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