Baltimore Ravens vs Kansas City Chiefs — Win Probability
FINAL
Baltimore Ravens
1-0
20
VS
Kansas City Chiefs
0-1
37
Prediction vs. Result
We keep every prediction permanently so we can always show our work.
PREGAME WIN PROBABILITY
Chiefs 55%
ACTUAL RESULT
Kansas City Chiefs won by 17
COMBINED SCORE
57
Margin of Victory — Kansas City Chiefs (Home)
Pregame odds for every possible outcome, simulated before kickoff -- the highlighted bar is what actually happened.
Lost / Tied
45%
Won by 1-3
9%
Won by 4-7
12%
Won by 8-14
16%
Won by 15-21 ← actual result
10%
Won by 21+
7%
Total Score — Over / Under
Combined final score against five common lines, plus this game's actual market line -- the real combined score was 57.
O/U LINE 30
86% over ✓14% under
O/U LINE 40
63% over ✓37% under
O/U LINE 44
52% over ✓48% under
O/U LINE 44.5 MARKET LINE
50% over ✓50% under
O/U LINE 48
40% over ✓60% under
O/U LINE 52
29% over ✓71% under
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