Pittsburgh Steelers vs New England Patriots — Win Probability
FINAL
Pittsburgh Steelers
1-1
21
VS
New England Patriots
2-1
14
Prediction vs. Result
We keep every prediction permanently so we can always show our work.
PREGAME WIN PROBABILITY
Patriots 54%
ACTUAL RESULT
Pittsburgh Steelers won by 7
COMBINED SCORE
35
Margin of Victory — New England Patriots (Home)
Pregame odds for every possible outcome, simulated before kickoff -- the highlighted bar is what actually happened.
Lost / Tied ← actual result
46%
Won by 1-3
9%
Won by 4-7
12%
Won by 8-14
17%
Won by 15-21
10%
Won by 21+
7%
Total Score — Over / Under
Combined final score against five common lines, plus this game's actual market line -- the real combined score was 35.
O/U LINE 30
76% over ✓24% under
O/U LINE 39.5 MARKET LINE
50% over50% under ✓
O/U LINE 40
49% over51% under ✓
O/U LINE 44
37% over63% under ✓
O/U LINE 48
26% over74% under ✓
O/U LINE 52
18% over82% under ✓
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