Las Vegas Raiders vs Washington Commanders — Win Probability
FINAL
Las Vegas Raiders
1-0
24
VS
Washington Commanders
1-0
41
Prediction vs. Result
We keep every prediction permanently so we can always show our work.
PREGAME WIN PROBABILITY
Commanders 71%
ACTUAL RESULT
Washington Commanders won by 17
COMBINED SCORE
65
Margin of Victory — Washington Commanders (Home)
Pregame odds for every possible outcome, simulated before kickoff -- the highlighted bar is what actually happened.
Lost / Tied
29%
Won by 1-3
8%
Won by 4-7
12%
Won by 8-14
20%
Won by 15-21 ← actual result
16%
Won by 21+
16%
Total Score — Over / Under
Combined final score against five common lines, plus this game's actual market line -- the real combined score was 65.
O/U LINE 30
86% over ✓14% under
O/U LINE 40
63% over ✓37% under
O/U LINE 44
52% over ✓48% under
O/U LINE 44.5 MARKET LINE
50% over ✓50% under
O/U LINE 48
40% over ✓60% under
O/U LINE 52
29% over ✓71% under
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Margin-of-victory breakdowns and total-score probabilities for every game are a free-account feature. This one's part of the paid slate — the Game of the Week is always free to view in full.
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