Los Angeles Rams vs Philadelphia Eagles — Win Probability
FINAL
Los Angeles Rams
4-0
26
VS
Philadelphia Eagles
1-1
33
Market line: PHI -3.5, total 52.5 · Model expected score: Los Angeles Rams 24.5 – Philadelphia Eagles 28.0
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Prediction vs. Result
We keep every prediction permanently so we can always show our work.
PREGAME WIN PROBABILITY
Eagles 60%
ACTUAL RESULT
Philadelphia Eagles won by 7
COMBINED SCORE
59
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Margin of Victory — Philadelphia Eagles (Home)
Pregame odds for every possible outcome, simulated before kickoff -- the highlighted bar is what actually happened.
Lost / Tied
40%
Won by 1-3
9%
Won by 4-7 ← actual result
12%
Won by 8-14
18%
Won by 15-21
12%
Won by 21+
9%
Total Score — Over / Under
Combined final score against five common lines, plus this game's actual market line -- the real combined score was 59.
O/U LINE 30
95% over ✓5% under
O/U LINE 40
82% over ✓18% under
O/U LINE 44
74% over ✓26% under
O/U LINE 48
63% over ✓37% under
O/U LINE 52
51% over ✓49% under
O/U LINE 52.5 MARKET LINE
50% over ✓50% under
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